Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 2.967626e-01 0.395869 0.511024 0.652731 0.820420 1.010595 1.240587
2026-01-25 1.707643e-01 0.288996 0.448228 0.669141 0.958389 1.315261 1.779466
2026-02-01 8.977777e-02 0.200744 0.376157 0.649695 1.041762 1.560718 2.275659
2026-02-08 5.311101e-02 0.157780 0.350072 0.681130 1.190595 1.901061 2.920601
2026-02-15 2.817552e-02 0.118177 0.313370 0.684436 1.294794 2.186606 3.512296
2026-02-22 1.735013e-02 0.100698 0.308849 0.736228 1.474438 2.589193 4.286926
2026-03-01 9.549867e-03 0.082470 0.294986 0.766602 1.620434 2.950002 5.020132
2026-03-08 4.354296e-03 0.064002 0.271857 0.772883 1.724192 3.250934 5.679180
2026-03-15 1.467319e-03 0.046904 0.242732 0.759068 1.788801 3.492072 6.258213
2026-03-22 4.587100e-04 0.037071 0.228547 0.772754 1.901466 3.812760 6.966567
2026-03-29 7.333738e-05 0.028167 0.211278 0.774686 1.990571 4.097807 7.629318
2026-04-05 3.372595e-07 0.019439 0.186906 0.752791 2.029978 4.300651 8.170540
2026-04-12 NaN 0.013058 0.165950 0.735113 2.077613 4.523519 8.758677
2026-04-19 NaN 0.009408 0.154408 0.740068 2.171482 4.830132 9.490740
2026-04-26 NaN 0.005574 0.133958 0.712735 2.193633 5.011753 10.028086
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004395 0.132159 0.742900 2.342771 5.424717 10.952620
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002870 0.122559 0.744669 2.428333 5.726240 11.702781
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002591 0.127683 0.798691 2.636593 6.258484 12.846600
2026-05-24 NaN 0.002006 0.126647 0.830370 2.795179 6.704518 13.857318
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001273 0.119301 0.836761 2.894704 7.044378 14.698635
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000631 0.107489 0.822009 2.941936 7.287478 15.382654
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000375 0.103189 0.836425 3.060791 7.669310 16.309141
2026-06-21 NaN 0.000176 0.096499 0.838433 3.148448 7.993702 17.143810